Vancouver Canucks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-10-10 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 80.3%

VAN: 19.7%

Expected Goals

NJD: 4.18

VAN: 2.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

VAN

L. Meriläinen

Stat	NJD	VAN
Season SV%	0.912	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.52	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jake Allen	21	20	1	95.2%	2.25	0	1.25
VAN	L. Meriläinen	37	33	4	89.2%	3.58	2	-0.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • NJD at home vs VAN: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-10	NJD 4 - 1 VAN	NJD	NJD
2026-01-23	VAN 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-12-14	NJD 1 - 2 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-03-24	NJD 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	VAN
2024-10-30	VAN 0 - 6 NJD	NJD	VAN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	12	2	1.08
1	VAN	11	0	0.75
2	NJD	20	0	1.49
2	VAN	12	0	1.13
3	NJD	16	0	1.00
3	VAN	10	0	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 80.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown