Nashville Predators at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2026-10-10 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 3 - 2 Nashville Predators (SO)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

OTT: 63.9%

NSH: 36.1%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.43

NSH: 2.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 14-8-5 | 0.881 SV% | 2.95 GAA

NSH

M. Murray

Stat	OTT	NSH
Season SV%	0.881	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.95	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	Linus Ullmark	21	18	3	85.7%	3.26	2	0.26
NSH	M. Murray	23	19	4	82.6%	4.54	3	0.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • OTT at home vs NSH: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-10	OTT 3 - 2 NSH	OTT	OTT
2026-01-22	NSH 5 - 3 OTT	NSH	OTT
2025-10-13	OTT 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	OTT
2025-02-03	NSH 2 - 5 OTT	OTT	NSH
2024-12-07	OTT 3 - 1 NSH	OTT	OTT

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	9	0	0.43
1	NSH	9	0	0.57
2	OTT	15	0	1.07
2	NSH	6	0	0.13
3	OTT	11	1	0.83
3	NSH	11	1	1.16
4	OTT	4	0	0.24
4	NSH	3	0	0.26
5	OTT	3	2	1.98
5	NSH	3	1	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6