Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-10-10 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 17.0%

CAR: 83.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 1.84

CAR: 3.95

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 13-2-1 | 0.901 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Stat	CHI	CAR
Season SV%	0.909	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	2.33

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	39	34	5	87.2%	3.50	1	-1.50
CAR	Brandon Bussi	26	24	2	92.3%	2.60	1	0.60

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 92% • CHI at home vs CAR: 0-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-07	CAR 9 - 2 CHI	CAR	CAR
2026-10-10	CHI 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-09	CHI 2 - 7 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-22	CAR 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	CAR
2025-01-30	CAR 3 - 2 CHI	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	11	0	0.58
1	CAR	23	0	1.06
2	CHI	9	0	0.71
2	CAR	18	1	1.37
3	CHI	17	1	1.31
3	CAR	15	0	1.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 83.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown