Columbus Blue Jackets at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2026-10-10 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 5 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

STL: 68.2%

CBJ: 31.8%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.60

CBJ: 2.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

Stat	STL	CBJ
Season SV%	0.869	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.56	2.62

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	23	20	3	87.0%	1.65	1	-1.35
CBJ	Jet Greaves	27	22	5	81.5%	3.61	6	-1.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • STL at home vs CBJ: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-10	STL 5 - 3 CBJ	STL	STL
2026-01-31	STL 3 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	STL
2025-11-01	CBJ 3 - 2 STL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-01-11	STL 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	STL
2025-01-04	CBJ 6 - 4 STL	CBJ	CBJ

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	8	1	0.65
1	CBJ	11	1	0.74
2	STL	14	1	1.22
2	CBJ	11	0	0.38
3	STL	15	4	1.75
3	CBJ	17	0	0.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown