Seattle Kraken at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2026-10-11 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals vs Seattle Kraken @ 5:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 53.0%
SEA: 47.0%
Expected Goals
WSH: 2.66
SEA: 3.68
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
| Stat | WSH | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.854 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.882 | — |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs SEA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | SEA 5 - 1 WSH | SEA | WSH |
| 2025-10-21 | WSH 4 - 1 SEA | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-09 | WSH 4 - 2 SEA | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-01-23 | SEA 0 - 3 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-03-14 | SEA 1 - 2 WSH | WSH | SEA |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-11 at 5:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.