Vancouver Canucks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-10-11 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 6 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYR: 71.5%

VAN: 28.5%

Expected Goals

NYR: 4.07

VAN: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 53%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYR

Dylan Garand - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Stat	NYR	VAN
Season SV%	0.000	0.885
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	0.00	3.41

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Dylan Garand	21	19	2	90.5%	1.84	1	-0.16
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	25	19	6	76.0%	3.40	3	-2.60

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • NYR at home vs VAN: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-11	NYR 6 - 2 VAN	NYR	NYR
2025-12-16	NYR 0 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-10-28	VAN 0 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-22	NYR 5 - 3 VAN	NYR	VAN
2024-11-19	VAN 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	VAN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	10	1	0.77
1	VAN	16	0	0.67
2	NYR	17	0	1.18
2	VAN	13	1	0.92
3	NYR	14	2	1.44
3	VAN	10	0	0.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown