Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-10-13 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken (SO)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

PHI: 40.6%

SEA: 59.4%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.90

SEA: 3.47

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

PHI

Dan Vladar - 14-6-3 | 0.910 SV% | 2.40 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Stat	PHI	SEA
Season SV%	0.910	0.920
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.40	2.32

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	Dan Vladar	36	32	4	88.9%	4.23	3	0.23
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	31	28	3	90.3%	4.24	4	1.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • PHI at home vs SEA: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-13	PHI 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-12-28	SEA 4 - 1 PHI	SEA	PHI
2025-10-20	PHI 5 - 2 SEA	PHI	PHI
2025-03-08	PHI 1 - 4 SEA	SEA	PHI
2024-10-17	SEA 6 - 4 PHI	SEA	SEA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	10	1	0.66
1	SEA	8	0	0.35
2	PHI	17	1	1.36
2	SEA	13	0	0.66
3	PHI	10	1	1.04
3	SEA	14	0	0.92
4	PHI	0	0	0.00
4	SEA	8	1	0.81
5	PHI	5	1	1.18
5	SEA	5	2	1.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5