Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-10-13 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 2 Minnesota Wild

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 68.0%

MIN: 32.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.59

MIN: 2.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

S. Skinner

MIN

C. Pickard

Stat	WPG	MIN
Season SV%	—	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	S. Skinner	21	19	2	90.5%	2.50	2	0.50
MIN	C. Pickard	25	20	5	80.0%	2.67	0	-2.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • WPG at home vs MIN: 7-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-13	WPG 5 - 2 MIN	WPG	WPG
2026-01-15	MIN 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	MIN
2025-12-27	WPG 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-11-23	WPG 0 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-10-28	MIN 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	MIN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	11	0	0.75
1	MIN	20	1	1.61
2	WPG	21	0	1.50
2	MIN	10	0	0.54
3	WPG	7	0	0.42
3	MIN	9	1	0.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown