Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2026-10-13 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 42.9%

VGK: 57.1%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.86

VGK: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Stat	NSH	VGK
Season SV%	0.897	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	2.73

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	25	20	5	80.0%	1.94	1	-3.06
VGK	Adin Hill	27	25	2	92.6%	2.56	3	0.56

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • NSH at home vs VGK: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-13	NSH 2 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-21	NSH 4 - 1 VGK	NSH	VGK
2026-01-17	VGK 7 - 2 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-12-31	VGK 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	VGK
2025-04-12	VGK 5 - 3 NSH	VGK	VGK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	14	2	1.21
1	VGK	13	0	0.74
2	NSH	12	0	0.59
2	VGK	11	1	0.75
3	NSH	12	1	0.76
3	VGK	11	0	0.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown