Boston Bruins at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2026-10-13 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 6 Boston Bruins

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SJS: 32.9%

BOS: 67.1%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.50

BOS: 3.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Stat	SJS	BOS
Season SV%	0.896	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.36	2.84

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	26	20	6	76.9%	3.95	3	-2.05
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	38	35	3	92.1%	2.99	3	-0.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SJS at home vs BOS: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-24	BOS 6 - 4 SJS	BOS	BOS
2026-10-13	SJS 3 - 6 BOS	BOS	BOS
2026-03-12	BOS 2 - 4 SJS	SJS	BOS
2025-11-23	SJS 3 - 1 BOS	SJS	SJS
2025-03-22	SJS 3 - 1 BOS	SJS	SJS

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	9	0	0.46
1	BOS	10	0	0.49
2	SJS	20	2	1.52
2	BOS	17	1	2.05
3	SJS	15	1	1.02
3	BOS	12	2	1.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown