Montreal Canadiens at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2026-10-14 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:30 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 45.4%
MTL: 54.6%
Expected Goals
WSH: 1.88
MTL: 2.98
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | WSH | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.920 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • WSH at home vs MTL: 5-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | MTL 6 - 2 WSH | MTL | MTL |
| 2026-01-13 | WSH 3 - 2 MTL | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-11-20 | MTL 4 - 8 WSH | WSH | MTL |
| 2025-04-30 | WSH 4 - 1 MTL | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-04-27 | MTL 2 - 5 WSH | WSH | WSH |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-14 at 7:30 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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