Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2026-10-15 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 41.1%
BUF: 58.9%
Expected Goals
TOR: 1.94
BUF: 3.23
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Anthony Stolarz - 10-10-3 | 0.893 SV% | 3.28 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | TOR | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.905 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.833 | 0.904 |
| GAA | 3.51 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • TOR at home vs BUF: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | BUF 3 - 2 TOR | BUF | BUF |
| 2026-01-27 | TOR 4 - 7 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-10-25 | TOR 4 - 3 BUF | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-10-24 | BUF 5 - 3 TOR | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-04-15 | BUF 0 - 4 TOR | TOR | BUF |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-15 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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