Vancouver Canucks at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-10-15 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

FLA: 76.1%

VAN: 23.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.80

VAN: 2.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 39%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

FLA

A. Schmid

VAN

L. Meriläinen

Stat	FLA	VAN
Season SV%	—	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	A. Schmid	17	15	2	88.2%	3.13	5	1.13
VAN	L. Meriläinen	39	36	3	92.3%	4.10	1	1.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • FLA at home vs VAN: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-15	FLA 3 - 2 VAN	FLA	FLA
2026-03-17	VAN 5 - 2 FLA	VAN	FLA
2025-11-17	FLA 8 - 5 VAN	FLA	FLA
2024-12-12	VAN 4 - 0 FLA	VAN	FLA
2024-10-17	FLA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	23	0	1.98
1	VAN	12	1	0.85
2	FLA	9	1	0.66
2	VAN	10	0	0.75
3	FLA	17	0	1.06
3	VAN	12	4	1.53
4	FLA	3	0	0.41
4	VAN	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.2