New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-10-15 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 7 - 1 New York Rangers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 79.7%

NYR: 20.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.99

NYR: 2.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

NYR

Dylan Garand - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Stat	NJD	NYR
Season SV%	0.939	0.000
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	1.60	0.00

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Nico Daws	19	18	1	94.7%	1.65	0	0.65
NYR	Dylan Garand	31	24	7	77.4%	3.15	0	-3.85

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • NJD at home vs NYR: 9-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-15	NJD 7 - 1 NYR	NJD	NJD
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NJD
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NJD	8	0.57
1	NYR	11	0.60
2	NJD	18	1.16
2	NYR	6	0.30
3	NJD	19	1.42
3	NYR	11	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 79.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown