Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-10-15 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 50.1%

WPG: 49.9%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.21

WPG: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

WPG

S. Skinner

Stat	CHI	WPG
Season SV%	0.909	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	34	31	3	91.2%	3.28	1	0.28
WPG	S. Skinner	28	24	4	85.7%	3.02	0	-0.98

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • CHI at home vs WPG: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-15	CHI 4 - 3 WPG	CHI	CHI
2026-03-31	CHI 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2026-03-03	WPG 3 - 2 CHI	WPG	WPG
2026-01-19	CHI 2 - 0 WPG	CHI	WPG
2025-10-30	WPG 6 - 3 CHI	WPG	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	15	0	1.43
1	WPG	12	0	0.54
2	CHI	13	0	0.79
2	WPG	17	1	1.17
3	CHI	9	0	0.59
3	WPG	19	0	1.40
4	CHI	2	0	0.21
4	WPG	1	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2