Utah Mammoth at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-10-15 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 4 Utah Mammoth

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

EDM: 33.7%

UTA: 66.3%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.68

UTA: 3.68

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM

D. Levi

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Stat	EDM	UTA
Season SV%	—	0.895
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	2.68

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	D. Levi	24	20	4	83.3%	3.50	3	-0.50
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	24	22	2	91.7%	1.97	0	-0.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • EDM at home vs UTA: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-17	UTA 2 - 6 EDM	EDM	UTA
2026-10-15	EDM 2 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA
2026-04-07	UTA 6 - 5 EDM	UTA	EDM
2026-03-24	UTA 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-28	EDM 6 - 3 UTA	EDM	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	7	0	0.29
1	UTA	14	0	1.18
2	EDM	17	0	0.93
2	UTA	16	1	1.25
3	EDM	15	0	0.75
3	UTA	9	2	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown