Pittsburgh Penguins at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2026-10-16 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:00 PM MDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 52.2%
PIT: 47.8%
Expected Goals
COL: 1.92
PIT: 3.82
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
PIT
Arturs Silovs - 19-12-8 | 0.887 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | COL | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.886 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.968 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.865 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 3.20 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs PIT: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | PIT 2 - 6 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-03-16 | COL 2 - 7 PIT | PIT | COL |
| 2025-03-04 | COL 4 - 1 PIT | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-10 | PIT 2 - 6 COL | COL | COL |
| 2024-03-24 | COL 5 - 4 PIT | COL | COL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-16 at 7:00 PM MDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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