Boston Bruins at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-10-16 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 4 Boston Bruins

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 40.0%

BOS: 60.0%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.82

BOS: 3.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

BOS

Michael DiPietro - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Stat	ANA	BOS
Season SV%	0.888	0.000
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.15	0.00

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	22	18	4	81.8%	3.52	3	-0.48
BOS	Michael DiPietro	27	25	2	92.6%	3.64	2	1.64

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • ANA at home vs BOS: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-16	ANA 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	BOS
2025-11-19	ANA 4 - 3 BOS	ANA	ANA
2025-10-23	BOS 5 - 7 ANA	ANA	BOS
2025-03-26	ANA 6 - 2 BOS	ANA	BOS
2025-02-22	BOS 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	BOS

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	19	1	1.30
1	BOS	10	0	0.64
2	ANA	18	0	1.10
2	BOS	16	0	0.94
3	ANA	14	1	1.24
3	BOS	11	3	1.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown