Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-10-17 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 36.9%

CAR: 63.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.97

CAR: 3.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 52%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

C. Stevenson

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Stat	WPG	CAR
Season SV%	—	0.899
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	2.33

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	C. Stevenson	37	34	3	91.9%	3.35	1	0.35
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	23	21	2	91.3%	3.39	2	1.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • WPG at home vs CAR: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-01	CAR 7 - 0 WPG	CAR	CAR
2026-10-17	WPG 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-28	CAR 5 - 1 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-11-21	WPG 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-09	CAR 4 - 2 WPG	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	15	2	2.02
1	CAR	12	0	0.74
2	WPG	10	0	0.59
2	CAR	23	0	1.28
3	WPG	13	0	0.78
3	CAR	17	1	1.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown