Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2026-10-17 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vancouver Canucks @ 4:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 51.0%
VAN: 49.0%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.48
VAN: 2.57
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-27-5 | 0.875 SV% | 3.70 GAA
| Stat | TBL | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.872 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.869 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TBL at home vs VAN: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | VAN 2 - 6 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-11-16 | TBL 2 - 6 VAN | VAN | TBL |
| 2024-12-08 | VAN 2 - 4 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-10-15 | TBL 4 - 1 VAN | TBL | VAN |
| 2023-12-12 | VAN 4 - 1 TBL | VAN | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-17 at 4:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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