New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2026-10-17 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders @ 7:00 PM EDT

Win Probability

TOR: 41.5%

NYI: 58.5%

Expected Goals

TOR: 1.90

NYI: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • TOR at home vs NYI: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	NYI 5 - 3 TOR	NYI	NYI
2026-03-17	TOR 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	NYI
2026-01-03	NYI 4 - 3 TOR	NYI	NYI
2025-01-02	NYI 1 - 2 TOR	TOR	NYI
2024-12-31	TOR 3 - 1 NYI	TOR	TOR

This game is scheduled for 2026-10-17 at 7:00 PM EDT.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.