New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2026-10-17 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 41.5%
NYI: 58.5%
Expected Goals
TOR: 1.88
NYI: 2.78
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Anthony Stolarz - 10-10-3 | 0.893 SV% | 3.28 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | TOR | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.905 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.907 |
| GAA | 3.51 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • TOR at home vs NYI: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | NYI 5 - 3 TOR | NYI | NYI |
| 2026-03-17 | TOR 1 - 3 NYI | NYI | NYI |
| 2026-01-03 | NYI 4 - 3 TOR | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-01-02 | NYI 1 - 2 TOR | TOR | NYI |
| 2024-12-31 | TOR 3 - 1 NYI | TOR | TOR |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-17 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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