New York Rangers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-10-17 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 0 New York Rangers (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 56.5%

NYR: 43.5%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.14

NYR: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

NYR

Dylan Garand - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Stat	CBJ	NYR
Season SV%	0.909	0.000
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	0.00

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	29	29	0	100.0%	3.43	3	3.43
NYR	Dylan Garand	29	28	1	96.6%	2.97	0	1.97

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • CBJ at home vs NYR: 5-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-17	CBJ 1 - 0 NYR	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-19	CBJ 6 - 3 NYR	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-02	NYR 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-15	CBJ 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-15	CBJ 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	15	0	0.73
1	NYR	13	1	0.79
2	CBJ	14	0	0.94
2	NYR	16	1	1.22
3	CBJ	12	0	0.83
3	NYR	17	1	1.31
4	CBJ	4	0	0.47
4	NYR	1	0	0.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 0 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.1 - 2.8