Boston Bruins at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-10-17 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 4 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 65.7%

BOS: 34.3%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.45

BOS: 2.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 39%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Stat	LAK	BOS
Season SV%	0.901	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.70	2.84

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Anton Forsberg	28	24	4	85.7%	3.16	3	-0.84
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	26	25	1	96.2%	2.55	2	1.55

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • LAK at home vs BOS: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-17	LAK 1 - 4 BOS	BOS	LAK
2026-03-10	BOS 2 - 1 LAK	BOS	BOS
2025-11-21	LAK 1 - 2 BOS	BOS	LAK
2025-03-23	LAK 7 - 2 BOS	LAK	LAK
2024-10-12	BOS 2 - 1 LAK	BOS	BOS

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	18	1	1.13
1	BOS	9	0	0.52
2	LAK	13	1	0.78
2	BOS	14	0	0.80
3	LAK	10	0	0.63
3	BOS	15	3	1.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown