Anaheim Ducks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-10-19 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 5 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYR: 49.1%

ANA: 50.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.05

ANA: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYR

Dylan Garand - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

ANA

Ville Husso - 5-3-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.25 GAA

Stat	NYR	ANA
Season SV%	0.000	0.884
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	0.00	3.25

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Dylan Garand	31	29	2	93.5%	3.25	4	1.25
ANA	Ville Husso	30	25	5	83.3%	4.39	4	-0.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NYR at home vs ANA: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-19	NYR 5 - 2 ANA	NYR	ANA
2026-01-19	ANA 5 - 3 NYR	ANA	ANA
2025-12-15	NYR 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	NYR
2025-03-28	ANA 5 - 4 NYR	ANA	NYR
2024-10-26	NYR 2 - 1 ANA	NYR	NYR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	19	1	1.66
1	ANA	16	1	1.21
2	NYR	17	2	2.11
2	ANA	13	3	1.26
3	NYR	6	1	0.62
3	ANA	15	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown