San Jose Sharks at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2026-10-19 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs vs San Jose Sharks @ 7:30 PM EDT

Win Probability

TOR: 42.2%

SJS: 57.8%

Expected Goals

TOR: 2.33

SJS: 4.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

TOR

Anthony Stolarz - 10-10-3 | 0.893 SV% | 3.28 GAA

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • TOR at home vs SJS: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	SJS 4 - 1 TOR	SJS	SJS
2025-12-11	TOR 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	TOR
2025-03-27	SJS 6 - 5 TOR	SJS	TOR
2025-03-03	TOR 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	SJS
2024-01-09	TOR 7 - 1 SJS	TOR	TOR

This game is scheduled for 2026-10-19 at 7:30 PM EDT.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.