Pittsburgh Penguins at Utah Mammoth NHL Predictions

2026-10-19 • Delta Center

Utah Mammoth 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

UTA: 56.9%

PIT: 43.1%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.57

PIT: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

UTA

S. Cossa

PIT

Arturs Silovs - 7-5-6 | 0.886 SV% | 3.20 GAA

Stat	UTA	PIT
Season SV%	—	0.886
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	3.20

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	S. Cossa	19	15	4	78.9%	2.08	1	-1.92
PIT	Arturs Silovs	29	24	5	82.8%	4.41	5	-0.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs PIT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-29	PIT 3 - 4 UTA	UTA	PIT
2026-10-19	UTA 5 - 4 PIT	UTA	UTA
2026-03-14	UTA 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	UTA
2025-12-14	PIT 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-01-29	UTA 2 - 3 PIT	PIT	UTA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	22	2	1.65
1	PIT	9	1	0.51
2	UTA	10	1	1.03
2	PIT	10	0	0.71
3	UTA	14	2	1.72
3	PIT	12	0	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown