Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-10-20 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 74.5%

COL: 25.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.81

COL: 2.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

Stat	NJD	COL
Season SV%	0.912	0.919
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.52	2.13

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jake Allen	34	31	3	91.2%	2.50	1	-0.50
COL	Scott Wedgewood	41	37	4	90.2%	3.54	4	-0.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs COL: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-28	COL 5 - 2 NJD	COL	COL
2026-10-20	NJD 4 - 3 COL	NJD	NJD
2025-10-28	COL 8 - 4 NJD	COL	COL
2025-10-26	NJD 4 - 3 COL	NJD	COL
2025-02-26	COL 5 - 1 NJD	COL	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	19	1	1.27
1	COL	8	0	0.50
2	NJD	21	2	1.10
2	COL	14	0	0.35
3	NJD	9	1	1.17
3	COL	30	1	1.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown