Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2026-10-20 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

STL: 53.9%

WPG: 46.1%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.24

WPG: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

WPG

S. Skinner

Stat	STL	WPG
Season SV%	0.901	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.87	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Joel Hofer	33	32	1	97.0%	2.42	1	1.42
WPG	S. Skinner	28	26	2	92.9%	2.79	2	0.79

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • STL at home vs WPG: 6-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-20	STL 2 - 1 WPG	STL	STL
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	STL
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	18	2	1.52
1	WPG	21	0	0.92
2	STL	12	0	0.88
2	WPG	12	0	0.64
3	STL	11	0	0.39
3	WPG	16	1	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown