Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-10-20 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

EDM: 53.0%

MIN: 47.0%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.14

MIN: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM

D. Levi

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

Stat	EDM	MIN
Season SV%	—	0.928
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	2.21

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	D. Levi	30	27	3	90.0%	4.57	4	1.57
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	32	28	4	87.5%	4.05	3	0.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • EDM at home vs MIN: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-20	EDM 4 - 3 MIN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-31	EDM 3 - 7 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-12-20	MIN 5 - 2 EDM	MIN	EDM
2025-12-02	EDM 0 - 1 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-01-15	MIN 3 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	24	2	1.55
1	MIN	16	2	1.89
2	EDM	13	1	1.59
2	MIN	13	1	1.21
3	EDM	5	0	0.36
3	MIN	16	1	1.48
4	EDM	5	0	0.54
4	MIN	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0