Carolina Hurricanes at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-10-20 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VAN: 21.0%

CAR: 79.0%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.28

CAR: 4.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VAN

L. Meriläinen

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Stat	VAN	CAR
Season SV%	—	0.899
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	2.33

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	L. Meriläinen	44	38	6	86.4%	5.22	1	-0.78
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	17	14	3	82.4%	1.60	0	-1.40

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • VAN at home vs CAR: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-20	VAN 3 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-10-08	CAR 7 - 2 VAN	CAR	CAR
2026-03-04	VAN 4 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-14	CAR 4 - 3 VAN	CAR	CAR
2025-01-10	CAR 2 - 0 VAN	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	10	0	0.66
1	CAR	15	0	0.84
2	VAN	8	0	0.52
2	CAR	22	0	1.01
3	VAN	10	0	0.42
3	CAR	27	1	3.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 79.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown