Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-10-20 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:30 PM PDT

Win Probability

VGK: 42.5%

TBL: 57.5%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.96

TBL: 3.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs TBL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-06	VGK 3 - 6 TBL	TBL	VGK
2025-10-26	TBL 2 - 1 VGK	TBL	TBL
2025-03-23	VGK 4 - 2 TBL	VGK	VGK
2024-10-17	TBL 4 - 3 VGK	TBL	VGK
2024-03-19	VGK 3 - 5 TBL	TBL	TBL

This game is scheduled for 2026-10-20 at 7:30 PM PDT.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.