Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2026-10-20 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:30 PM PDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 42.5%
TBL: 57.5%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.00
TBL: 3.84
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Adin Hill - 10-9-6 | 0.871 SV% | 3.04 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
| Stat | VGK | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.875 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.922 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs TBL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | VGK 3 - 6 TBL | TBL | VGK |
| 2025-10-26 | TBL 2 - 1 VGK | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-03-23 | VGK 4 - 2 TBL | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-10-17 | TBL 4 - 3 VGK | TBL | VGK |
| 2024-03-19 | VGK 3 - 5 TBL | TBL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-20 at 7:30 PM PDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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