Philadelphia Flyers at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2026-10-21 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 7:30 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 43.0%
PHI: 57.0%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.11
PHI: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | BUF | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.847 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.667 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BUF at home vs PHI: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | BUF 5 - 2 PHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-12-18 | BUF 5 - 3 PHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-12-03 | PHI 5 - 2 BUF | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-04-17 | BUF 5 - 4 PHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-29 | PHI 7 - 4 BUF | PHI | PHI |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-21 at 7:30 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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