Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-10-22 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 78.9%

ANA: 21.1%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.94

ANA: 2.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

ANA

Ville Husso - 5-3-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.25 GAA

Stat	NJD	ANA
Season SV%	0.939	0.884
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	1.60	3.25

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Nico Daws	17	16	1	94.1%	1.35	0	0.35
ANA	Ville Husso	29	25	4	86.2%	4.41	4	0.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • NJD at home vs ANA: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-22	NJD 4 - 1 ANA	NJD	NJD
2025-12-13	NJD 4 - 1 ANA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-02	ANA 4 - 1 NJD	ANA	ANA
2024-12-31	ANA 3 - 2 NJD	ANA	ANA
2024-10-27	NJD 6 - 2 ANA	NJD	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	1	1.69
1	ANA	5	0	0.17
2	NJD	14	1	0.97
2	ANA	15	0	0.71
3	NJD	13	2	1.75
3	ANA	13	0	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 78.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown