Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2026-10-22 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 0 Florida Panthers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

PIT: 58.4%

FLA: 41.6%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.24

FLA: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

PIT

Arturs Silovs - 7-5-6 | 0.886 SV% | 3.20 GAA

FLA

C. Black

Stat	PIT	FLA
Season SV%	0.886	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.20	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	Arturs Silovs	26	26	0	100.0%	2.18	0	2.18
FLA	C. Black	21	17	4	81.0%	3.72	4	-0.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • PIT at home vs FLA: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-22	PIT 4 - 0 FLA	PIT	PIT
2026-04-05	PIT 5 - 2 FLA	PIT	PIT
2026-04-04	PIT 9 - 4 FLA	PIT	PIT
2025-10-23	FLA 3 - 5 PIT	PIT	FLA
2025-03-23	FLA 4 - 3 PIT	FLA	FLA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	11	1	0.99
1	FLA	7	0	0.40
2	PIT	11	0	0.77
2	FLA	22	0	1.01
3	PIT	11	3	1.96
3	FLA	9	0	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown