Detroit Red Wings at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-10-22 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VAN: 33.2%

DET: 66.8%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.55

DET: 3.56

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

DET

John Gibson - 13-8-1 | 0.893 SV% | 2.97 GAA

Stat	VAN	DET
Season SV%	0.885	0.893
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.41	2.97

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	31	26	5	83.9%	4.20	1	-0.80
DET	John Gibson	13	11	2	84.6%	1.67	1	-0.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • VAN at home vs DET: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-22	VAN 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2026-01-08	DET 5 - 1 VAN	DET	DET
2025-12-08	VAN 0 - 4 DET	DET	VAN
2025-02-02	VAN 2 - 3 DET	DET	VAN
2024-12-01	DET 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	VAN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	8	0	0.53
1	DET	16	1	2.10
2	VAN	5	0	0.28
2	DET	22	0	1.36
3	VAN	13	1	0.85
3	DET	8	0	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown