Anaheim Ducks at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-10-24 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

PHI: 50.4%

ANA: 49.6%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.01

ANA: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

PHI

J. Woll

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Stat	PHI	ANA
Season SV%	—	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	3.15

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	J. Woll	26	21	5	80.8%	4.37	6	-0.63
ANA	Lukas Dostal	32	28	4	87.5%	2.56	2	-1.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • PHI at home vs ANA: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-24	PHI 4 - 5 ANA	ANA	PHI
2026-03-18	ANA 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	ANA
2026-01-06	PHI 5 - 2 ANA	PHI	PHI
2025-01-11	PHI 6 - 0 ANA	PHI	PHI
2024-12-28	ANA 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	14	1	1.14
1	ANA	9	0	0.63
2	PHI	12	0	0.61
2	ANA	21	5	2.95
3	PHI	13	1	0.81
3	ANA	11	1	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown