San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-10-24 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 6 - 4 San Jose Sharks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

BOS: 62.1%

SJS: 37.9%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.78

SJS: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

SJS

Alex Nedeljkovic - 5-7-2 | 0.895 SV% | 3.06 GAA

Stat	BOS	SJS
Season SV%	0.903	0.895
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.84	3.06

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	27	23	4	85.2%	2.20	2	-1.80
SJS	Alex Nedeljkovic	35	29	6	82.9%	5.04	6	-0.96

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • BOS at home vs SJS: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-24	BOS 6 - 4 SJS	BOS	BOS
2026-10-13	SJS 3 - 6 BOS	BOS	BOS
2026-03-12	BOS 2 - 4 SJS	SJS	BOS
2025-11-23	SJS 3 - 1 BOS	SJS	SJS
2025-03-22	SJS 3 - 1 BOS	SJS	SJS

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	21	2	1.63
1	SJS	15	0	0.95
2	BOS	20	2	1.81
2	SJS	7	2	0.67
3	BOS	15	2	1.60
3	SJS	11	0	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown