Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2026-10-24 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 2 Nashville Predators (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

PIT: 70.1%

NSH: 29.9%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.79

NSH: 2.54

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

PIT

Arturs Silovs - 7-5-6 | 0.886 SV% | 3.20 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Stat	PIT	NSH
Season SV%	0.886	0.897
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.20	2.93

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	Arturs Silovs	26	24	2	92.3%	2.88	4	0.88
NSH	Juuse Saros	37	34	3	91.9%	3.93	4	0.93

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • PIT at home vs NSH: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-24	PIT 3 - 2 NSH	PIT	PIT
2025-11-16	PIT 4 - 0 NSH	PIT	PIT
2025-11-14	NSH 2 - 1 PIT	NSH	NSH
2025-02-01	PIT 3 - 0 NSH	PIT	PIT
2024-12-19	NSH 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	13	3	1.24
1	NSH	11	1	0.57
2	PIT	24	0	1.68
2	NSH	10	0	0.74
3	PIT	13	1	0.83
3	NSH	15	3	1.57
4	PIT	3	0	0.18
4	NSH	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.8 - 2.5