Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2026-10-24 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 0 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

STL: 40.1%

CAR: 59.9%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.83

CAR: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Stat	STL	CAR
Season SV%	0.901	0.899
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.87	2.33

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Joel Hofer	39	35	4	89.7%	3.46	0	-0.54
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	24	24	0	100.0%	2.28	0	2.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • STL at home vs CAR: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-24	STL 0 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-03-12	CAR 1 - 3 STL	STL	CAR
2026-01-13	STL 3 - 0 CAR	STL	CAR
2024-11-17	CAR 4 - 1 STL	CAR	CAR
2024-10-19	STL 4 - 3 CAR	STL	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	STL	10	0.53
1	CAR	16	0.79
2	STL	15	0.97
2	CAR	23	1.54
3	STL	10	0.78
3	CAR	14	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown