Detroit Red Wings at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-10-24 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CGY: 53.5%

DET: 46.5%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.31

DET: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CGY

Devin Cooley - 4-4-2 | 0.914 SV% | 2.40 GAA

DET

John Gibson - 13-8-1 | 0.893 SV% | 2.97 GAA

Stat	CGY	DET
Season SV%	0.914	0.893
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.40	2.97

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	Devin Cooley	29	28	1	96.6%	2.89	3	1.89
DET	John Gibson	25	21	4	84.0%	1.68	1	-2.32

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • CGY at home vs DET: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-24	CGY 4 - 1 DET	CGY	CGY
2026-03-16	DET 5 - 2 CGY	DET	DET
2025-12-10	CGY 3 - 4 DET	DET	CGY
2025-02-01	CGY 1 - 3 DET	DET	CGY
2024-11-27	DET 2 - 1 CGY	DET	DET

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	13	0	0.60
1	DET	15	1	1.00
2	CGY	10	1	0.71
2	DET	12	2	1.28
3	CGY	8	0	0.37
3	DET	13	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown