Florida Panthers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-10-25 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Florida Panthers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 39.8%

FLA: 60.2%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.61

FLA: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

FLA

A. Schmid

Stat	CHI	FLA
Season SV%	0.909	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	33	30	3	90.9%	3.59	2	0.59
FLA	A. Schmid	21	19	2	90.5%	3.24	0	1.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs FLA: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-04	FLA 5 - 3 CHI	FLA	FLA
2026-10-25	CHI 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2026-01-25	CHI 1 - 5 FLA	FLA	CHI
2025-10-07	FLA 3 - 2 CHI	FLA	FLA
2025-02-01	FLA 5 - 1 CHI	FLA	FLA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	13	0	1.01
1	FLA	18	1	1.55
2	CHI	18	0	1.17
2	FLA	15	0	0.69
3	CHI	13	0	1.06
3	FLA	15	1	1.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown