Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2026-10-25 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 6 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 39.7%

COL: 60.3%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.94

COL: 3.56

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 54%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

Stat	NSH	COL
Season SV%	0.875	0.919
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.29	2.13

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Justus Annunen	21	19	2	90.5%	2.10	1	0.10
COL	Scott Wedgewood	35	29	6	82.9%	3.33	1	-2.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NSH at home vs COL: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-05	COL 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	COL
2026-10-25	NSH 6 - 2 COL	NSH	COL
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	16	1	1.02
1	COL	12	0	0.75
2	NSH	18	0	1.31
2	COL	14	1	1.05
3	NSH	14	0	1.00
3	COL	9	0	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown