Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-10-25 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VAN: 41.3%

MIN: 58.7%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.84

MIN: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VAN

L. Meriläinen

MIN

C. Pickard

Stat	VAN	MIN
Season SV%	—	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	L. Meriläinen	34	30	4	88.2%	5.57	6	1.57
MIN	C. Pickard	17	15	2	88.2%	1.83	1	-0.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • VAN at home vs MIN: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-25	VAN 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-04-02	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-06	VAN 4 - 2 MIN	VAN	MIN
2025-11-01	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-04-12	VAN 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	VAN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	16	0	0.74
1	MIN	10	1	0.97
2	VAN	8	0	0.49
2	MIN	23	4	2.84
3	VAN	7	1	0.61
3	MIN	18	1	1.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown