Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-10-26 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 6 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYR: 63.5%

LAK: 36.5%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.51

LAK: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYR

J. Reimer

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Stat	NYR	LAK
Season SV%	—	0.913
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	2.27

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	J. Reimer	26	20	6	76.9%	3.17	2	-2.83
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	26	23	3	88.5%	2.98	3	-0.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • NYR at home vs LAK: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-26	NYR 3 - 6 LAK	LAK	NYR
2026-03-16	NYR 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	NYR
2026-01-20	LAK 4 - 3 NYR	LAK	LAK
2025-03-25	LAK 3 - 1 NYR	LAK	LAK
2024-12-14	NYR 1 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	15	1	1.09
1	LAK	17	1	1.13
2	NYR	16	1	1.17
2	LAK	19	0	1.20
3	NYR	11	1	0.72
3	LAK	6	1	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown