Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2026-10-26 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 6:30 PM MDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 47.5%
TOR: 52.5%
Expected Goals
CGY: 1.70
TOR: 4.30
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
TOR
Anthony Stolarz - 10-10-3 | 0.893 SV% | 3.28 GAA
| Stat | CGY | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.905 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.879 | 0.897 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 3.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CGY at home vs TOR: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | CGY 2 - 4 TOR | TOR | CGY |
| 2025-10-28 | TOR 4 - 3 CGY | TOR | CGY |
| 2025-03-17 | TOR 6 - 2 CGY | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-02-04 | CGY 3 - 6 TOR | TOR | CGY |
| 2024-01-18 | CGY 3 - 4 TOR | TOR | TOR |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-26 at 6:30 PM MDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.