Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-10-27 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

PHI: 55.2%

CBJ: 44.8%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.31

CBJ: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

PHI

Dan Vladar - 14-6-3 | 0.910 SV% | 2.40 GAA

CBJ

C. Talbot

Stat	PHI	CBJ
Season SV%	0.910	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.40	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	Dan Vladar	15	11	4	73.3%	1.69	2	-2.31
CBJ	C. Talbot	31	28	3	90.3%	4.01	5	1.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • PHI at home vs CBJ: 4-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-27	PHI 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	PHI
2026-03-24	PHI 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-14	PHI 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2026-01-28	CBJ 5 - 3 PHI	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-15	PHI 0 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	PHI

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	6	0	0.22
1	CBJ	9	1	0.57
2	PHI	17	4	2.36
2	CBJ	11	1	0.63
3	PHI	18	1	1.26
3	CBJ	3	0	0.19
4	PHI	2	0	0.16
4	CBJ	2	0	0.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0