Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-10-27 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 Boston Bruins

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CAR: 70.4%

BOS: 29.6%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.94

BOS: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 51%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Stat	CAR	BOS
Season SV%	0.899	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.33	2.84

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	15	14	1	93.3%	1.83	2	0.83
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	30	28	2	93.3%	3.63	3	1.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • CAR at home vs BOS: 10-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-27	CAR 2 - 1 BOS	CAR	CAR
2026-04-07	CAR 6 - 5 BOS	CAR	CAR
2025-11-17	BOS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-01	BOS 2 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-04-05	BOS 5 - 1 CAR	BOS	BOS

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	0	1.12
1	BOS	9	2	1.06
2	CAR	15	2	1.67
2	BOS	3	0	0.21
3	CAR	14	1	0.84
3	BOS	9	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown