New York Islanders at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2026-10-27 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 3 - 4 New York Islanders (SO)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 43.3%

NYI: 56.7%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.86

NYI: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

NYI

Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Stat	NSH	NYI
Season SV%	0.897	0.000
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	0.00

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	30	25	5	83.3%	4.94	3	-0.06
NYI	Semyon Varlamov	23	20	3	87.0%	4.26	3	1.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • NSH at home vs NYI: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-27	NSH 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2026-01-31	NYI 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2026-01-08	NSH 2 - 1 NYI	NSH	NSH
2025-04-08	NSH 7 - 6 NYI	NSH	NSH
2025-03-01	NYI 7 - 4 NSH	NYI	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	11	1	1.07
1	NYI	11	1	1.05
2	NSH	11	1	1.29
2	NYI	18	0	1.02
3	NSH	16	1	1.66
3	NYI	14	0	1.08
4	NSH	2	0	0.09
4	NYI	6	0	0.42
5	NSH	2	0	0.15
5	NYI	2	2	1.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 3 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2