Florida Panthers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-10-27 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 5 Florida Panthers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 41.9%

FLA: 58.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.84

FLA: 3.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

C. Stevenson

FLA

A. Schmid

Stat	WPG	FLA
Season SV%	—	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	C. Stevenson	24	19	5	79.2%	3.23	3	-1.77
FLA	A. Schmid	25	24	1	96.0%	3.54	1	2.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • WPG at home vs FLA: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-30	FLA 5 - 2 WPG	FLA	FLA
2026-10-27	WPG 1 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA
2026-01-31	FLA 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	FLA
2026-01-22	WPG 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-11-19	WPG 6 - 3 FLA	WPG	FLA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	14	0	0.72
1	FLA	10	1	0.87
2	WPG	16	1	2.04
2	FLA	17	1	1.34
3	WPG	11	0	0.79
3	FLA	13	1	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown