Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth NHL Predictions

2026-10-27 • Delta Center

Utah Mammoth 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

UTA: 55.9%

MIN: 44.1%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.30

MIN: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

Stat	UTA	MIN
Season SV%	0.895	0.928
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.68	2.21

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	30	27	3	90.0%	3.13	3	0.13
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	27	26	1	96.3%	2.96	2	1.96

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • UTA at home vs MIN: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-27	UTA 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	UTA
2026-03-10	MIN 5 - 0 UTA	MIN	MIN
2026-02-27	UTA 5 - 2 MIN	UTA	UTA
2025-10-25	MIN 2 - 6 UTA	UTA	MIN
2025-02-27	UTA 6 - 1 MIN	UTA	UTA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	10	0	0.39
1	MIN	15	0	0.83
2	UTA	7	0	0.52
2	MIN	19	2	1.65
3	UTA	26	2	2.04
3	MIN	10	1	0.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown